We predict the Oscar nominations - Omaha.com
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Bradley Cooper, left, as Richie Dimaso and Christian Bale as Irving Rosenfeld talk in a gallery at the Frick Museum in a scene from Columbia Pictures' "American Hustle."(SONY PICTURES)
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Benedict Cumberbatch, left, and Chiwetel Ejiofor in a scene from "12 Years A Slave."(FOX SEARCHLIGHT)


We predict the Oscar nominations
By Bob Fischbach / World-Herald staff writer


The late arrival of two movies about greed and con artists, “The Wolf of Wall Street” and “American Hustle,” has clouded the crystal balls of Academy Award prognosticators.

Oscar nominations will be revealed at 7:38 a.m. Thursday. The awards will be handed out March 2.

What looked like a mostly two-picture race for top honors between harrowing history in “12 Years a Slave” and space-travel thrills in “Gravity” has suddenly become a more interesting, less predictable horse race.

Guilds for movie directors, producers, actors, screenwriters, cinematographers and editors offer clues about who might be nominated. So do various film critics groups. But there are always surprises.

Here's a best guess of how things might go Thursday morning.

BEST PICTURE

How many nominations this year? Most people think eight or nine movies will get enough top picks from academy voters to make the grade.

Favorites:
• “12 Years a Slave”
• “American Hustle”
• “Gravity”

Short-listed:
• “Captain Phillips”
• “Nebraska”
• “The Wolf of Wall Street”

Quite possible:
• “Her”
• “Inside Llewyn Davis”
• “Saving Mr. Banks”

Long shots:
• “Dallas Buyers Club”
• “Philomena”
• “Blue Jasmine”
• “Lee Daniels' The Butler”
• “Fruitvale Station”
• “August: Osage County”
• “All Is Lost”

BEST DIRECTOR

Favorites:
• Alfonso Cuarón, “Gravity”
• Steve McQueen, “12 Years a Slave”
• David O. Russell, “American Hustle”

Short-listed:
• Alexander Payne, “Nebraska”
• Paul Greengrass, “Captain Phillips”
• Martin Scorsese, “The Wolf of Wall Street”

Likely two of these three will fill the category. The directors' guild left out Payne.

Long shots:
• Joel and Ethan Coen, “Inside Llewyn Davis”
• Spike Jonze, “Her”


BEST ACTRESS

Favorites:
• Cate Blanchett, “Blue Jasmine”
• Sandra Bullock, “Gravity”
• Emma Thompson, “Saving Mr. Banks”
• Judi Dench, “Philomena”

Short-listed: Meryl Streep, “August: Osage County”; Amy Adams, “American Hustle.” Most signs point to Streep over Adams to fill the category.

Long shots: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Enough Said”; Julie Delpy, “Before Midnight”; Adele Exarchopoulos, “Blue Is the Warmest Color”

BEST ACTOR

Favorites:
• Chiwetel Ejiofor, “12 Years a Slave”
• Tom Hanks, “Captain Phillips”

Short-listed: Robert Redford, “All Is Lost”; Bruce Dern, “Nebraska”; Matthew McConaughey, “Dallas Buyers Club.”

Possible spoilers: Christian Bale, “American Hustle”; Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Wolf of Wall Street”; Forest Whitaker, “Lee Daniels' The Butler.” The Screen Actors Guild favored Whitaker over Redford.

Long shots: Oscar Isaac, “Inside Llewyn Davis”; Michael B. Jordan, “Fruitvale Station”; Idris Elba, “Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”; Joaquin Phoenix, “Her.”


SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Favorites:
• Lupita Nyong'o, “12 Years a Slave”
• Jennifer Lawrence, “American Hustle”

Short-listed: Oprah Winfrey, “Lee Daniels' The Butler”; June Squibb, “Nebraska”; Julia Roberts, “August: Osage County”; Octavia Spencer, “Fruitvale Station.” Spencer missed a Screen Actors Guild nod.

Long shots: Margo Martindale, “August: Osage County”; Sally Hawkins, “Blue Jasmine”; Sarah Paulson, “12 Years a Slave”; Scarlett Johansson, “Her.”

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Favorites:
• Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club”
• Barkhad Abdi, “Captain Phillips”
• Michael Fassbender, “12 Years a Slave”

Short-listed: Tom Hanks, “Saving Mr. Banks”; James Gandolfini, “Enough Said”; Daniel Brühl, “Rush.” Likely two of these three. The Screen Actors Guild dropped Hanks.

Long shots: Chris Cooper, “August: Osage County”; Jonah Hill, “The Wolf of Wall Street”; Steve Coogan, “Philomena”; Matthew McConaughey, “Mud.”

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Favorites: Eric Singer and David O. Russell, “American Hustle”; Spike Jonze, “Her.”

Short-listed: Bob Nelson, “Nebraska”; Woody Allen, “Blue Jasmine”; Craig Borten and Melissa Wallack, “Dallas Buyers Club”; Joel and Ethan Coen, “Inside Llewyn Davis.” The writers guild passed over “Inside Llewyn Davis.”

Long shots: Alfonso and Jonas Cuarón, “Gravity”; Nicole Holofcener, “Enough Said”; Kelly Marcel and Sue Smith, “Saving Mr. Banks.”


ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Favorites: Terence Winter, “The Wolf of Wall Street”; Richard Linklater and Julie Delpy, “Before Midnight.”

Short-listed: John Ridley, “12 Years a Slave”; Billy Ray, “Captain Phillips”; Tracy Letts, “August: Osage County”; Peter Berg, “Lone Survivor.” The writers guild skipped “12 Years a Slave.”

Long shots: Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope, “Philomena”; Abdellatif Kechiche and Ghalia Lacroix, “Blue Is the Warmest Color.”

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Favorites: Emmanuel Lubezki, “Gravity”; Sean Bobbitt, “12 Years a Slave”; Bruno Delbonnel, “Inside Llewyn Davis.”

Short-listed: Anthony Dod Mantle, “Rush”; Barry Ackroyd, “Captain Phillips”; Phedon Papamichael, “Nebraska”; Roger Deakins, “Prisoners”; Philippe LeSourd, “The Grandmaster.” The cinematographers guild posted a three-way tie for its fifth nomination.

Long shots: Hoyte Van Hoytema, “Her”; Simon Duggan, “The Great Gatsby.”

EDITING

Favorites: Alfonso Cuarón and Mark Sanger, “Gravity”; Christopher Rouse, “Captain Phillips”; Joe Walker, “12 Years a Slave.”

Short-listed: Alan Baumgarten, Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers, “American Hustle”; Thelma Schoonmaker, “The Wolf of Wall Street”; Kevin Tent, “Nebraska”; Mike Hill and Dan Hanley, “Rush.”

Long shots: Stephen Mirrioni, “August: Osage County”; Mark Livosi, “Saving Mr. Banks”; Jeff Buchanan and Eric Zumbrunnen, “Her”; Joel and Ethan Coen, “Inside Llewyn Davis.”


ANIMATED FEATURE

Favorites: “Frozen,” “The Wind Rises,” “Despicable Me 2.”

Short-listed: “The Croods,” “Monsters University,” “Ernest & Celestine.”

Long shots: “Epic,” “Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs 2,” “Letter to Momo.”

FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM

Favorites: “The Great Beauty,” Italy; “The Hunt,” Denmark.

Short-listed: “The Broken Circle Breakdown,” Belgium; “The Grandmaster,” Hong Kong; “Omar,” Palestine; “Two Lives,” Germany.

Long shots: “The Missing Picture,” Cambodia; “An Episode in the Life of an Iron Picker,” Bosnia-Herzegovina; “The Notebook,” Hungary.

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Favorites: “The Act of Killing,” “Blackfish,” “Stories We Tell.”

Short-listed: “20 Feet From Stardom,” “The Square,” “Tim's Vermeer.”

Long shots: “The Armstrong Lie,” “God Loves Uganda.”

Contact the writer: Bob Fischbach

bob.fischbach@owh.com    |   402-444-1269

Bob reviews movies and local theater productions and writes stories about those topics, as well.

Read more stories by Bob


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Copyright ©2014 Omaha World-Herald®. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, displayed or redistributed for any purpose without permission from the Omaha World-Herald.

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